Football tips backed by maths, not hype.
Disciplined tips chosen by a Dixon-Coles model — only where its own probability beats the market price. Every pick and every result published in public — wins and losses.
or see our public track record first ↓
- Tips tracked
- 71
- Win rate
- 59.2%
- Avg odds
- 1.60
- Published
- 100%
How it works
No mystery. A simple, repeatable process you can verify.
The model picks
A Dixon-Coles statistical model rates every fixture and surfaces the highest-value picks — only where its own probability beats the price.
You get the tip
Subscribers see the day's tip — the team, the odds and a suggested stake — in one clean feed. No noise.
We track every result
Win or lose, every settled pick is published with the running win rate and ROI. Nothing is hidden.
Our track record, in the open
Real settled singles — pre-kickoff picks judged on real results. We publish the honest number, including when we're behind. We're still building a large enough sample to call the edge proven.
| Match | Pick | Odds | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| DC United vs New England Revolution | DC United | 1.50 | Lost |
| New York Red Bulls vs Nashville SC | Nashville SC | 1.47 | Won |
| Atlético Ottawa vs Vancouver FC | Atlético Ottawa | 1.53 | Won |
| Forge vs Supra du Quebec | Forge | 1.21 | Won |
| New York City FC vs Philadelphia Union | New York City FC | 1.40 | Lost |
| Colorado Rapids vs Sporting Kansas City | Colorado Rapids | 1.17 | Won |
Why PredictPitch
Maths, not hype
Picks come from a Dixon-Coles model, not gut feeling or paid promotion.
Singles-only discipline
One value pick at a time — genuine model edge only. No reckless accumulators.
Radical transparency
Every pick and result is public — we never quietly delete a losing run.
Bankroll-safe staking
Kelly-clamped stakes and stop-loss rules protect your bankroll.
Ready to bet smarter?
Create a free account to see today's pick and our full record — upgrade only when you're convinced.
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